Changes in Crude Oil Prices and the Flow of Government Revenue

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Chukwunweike Stella
Achu Tonia Chinedu
Awa Kalu Idika


This work is set out as an investigation into the impact of change in oil prices on government revenue broken into oil and nonoil component. Drawing data from the Central Bank Statistical Bulletin and covering the period 1981 to 2018. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Model was used because of its advantages over other regression techniques. It was found that changes in oil price affected oil revenue within the studied period leaving no significant impact on nonoil revenue. The result obviously reflects the Nigerian economy and its mono-product characteristic. It is therefore recommended that a conscious policy effort should be made to diversify the economy in a manner that makes revenue to the government multifarious functions.

Oil Price, government revenue, mono-economy, ARDL, regression, Nigeria.

Article Details

How to Cite
Stella, C., Chinedu, A. T., & Idika, A. K. (2019). Changes in Crude Oil Prices and the Flow of Government Revenue. South Asian Journal of Social Studies and Economics, 5(1), 1-12.
Original Research Article


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